Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 5.776902 6.718682 7.730627 8.894803 10.192979 11.591934 13.209251
2025-04-27 4.863692 6.226498 7.798565 9.729076 12.017991 14.627122 17.807021
2025-05-04 4.089914 5.722114 7.730076 10.340972 13.602052 17.495563 22.446359
2025-05-11 3.298262 5.038210 7.316580 10.442704 14.537626 19.632704 26.355354
2025-05-18 2.580942 4.309859 6.718727 10.199863 14.968319 21.130595 29.536529
2025-05-25 2.042550 3.723992 6.211498 9.985635 15.371465 22.572097 32.686686
2025-06-01 1.669105 3.309419 5.876219 9.947339 15.972712 24.271198 36.225800
2025-06-08 1.361256 2.936472 5.541657 9.853592 16.458084 25.807459 39.589570
2025-06-15 1.224236 2.829554 5.605283 10.355993 17.827729 28.628062 44.826998
2025-06-22 1.031631 2.580180 5.395012 10.393558 18.483576 30.441559 48.708057
2025-06-29 0.813727 2.231526 4.960317 10.009764 18.443052 31.212956 51.105337
2025-07-06 0.635587 1.920409 4.543078 9.600874 18.313521 31.819076 53.256362
2025-07-13 0.570461 1.852778 4.585225 10.012657 19.567678 34.621976 58.828563
2025-07-20 0.548965 1.886174 4.831010 10.812133 21.514196 38.579801 66.282372
2025-07-27 0.509286 1.864776 4.961448 11.406783 23.144629 42.106318 73.201860
2025-08-03 0.432505 1.724452 4.821853 11.475843 23.869454 44.221678 78.027252
2025-08-10 0.344368 1.523396 4.517378 11.190937 23.946624 45.287758 81.250966
2025-08-17 0.274697 1.352102 4.250097 10.947133 24.070413 46.419870 84.598691
2025-08-24 0.227069 1.234246 4.088292 10.898259 24.536295 48.121724 88.885576
2025-08-31 0.184958 1.118032 3.909885 10.793067 24.883463 49.627730 92.893156
2025-09-07 0.173050 1.114635 4.023049 11.329976 26.475827 53.305082 100.522822
2025-09-14 0.145403 1.034315 3.917169 11.368734 27.105350 55.341869 105.516863
2025-09-21 0.109652 0.897091 3.626723 10.955826 26.819773 55.767397 107.852995